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Market Outlook - Reminiscence
9/22/2016

 

My stance on the U.S. stock market for the next few months is bullish. The $SOX/$SPX relative-strength ratio has finally broken through the 2007 high, and the current setup in the Transports is truly reminiscent of the week of December 31st, 2012. In my opinion, 2017 is poised to unfold more or less per the 2013 playbook, i.e., on a "BTFD" note. Of particular interest is the chart of the Philly Semiconductor Index ($SOX) sporting a generational rounding bottom. The semiconductor sector is lagging the rest of the market, and thus continues to offer great bullish potential relative to most other sectors.  

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